Digital payment transactions in India more than doubles since 2021, according to RBI economist

Cash continues to account for 60 percent of consumer expenditure, though its share is steadily declining in India due to a post-Covid shift toward digital payments, as of March 2024, according to a study by a Reserve Bank of India (RBI) economist.

According to The Economic Times, the study revealed that the share of digital payments more than doubled, rising from 14-19 percent in March 2021 to 40-48 percent in March 2024.

Pradip Bhuyan, from the RBI’s department of currency management, stated, “A cash usage indicator (CUI) taking into account both physical and digital modes of payments indicates that cash usage remains significant but has been declining during the period under study.”

In his paper, Cash Usage Indicator for India, he analyzed consumer spending patterns from 2011-12 to 2023-24.

According to Bhuyan, the CUI—which measures the share of cash in private final consumption expenditure—dropped from 81-86 percent in the January-March 2021 period to 52-60 percent by January-March 2024.

He added, “CUI is a quarterly indicator and can facilitate currency management.”

Bhuyan also clarified that the opinions expressed in the paper are his own and do not necessarily reflect the views of the central bank.

The report highlighted that the United Payments Interface (UPI), which was launched commercially during the 2016 demonetisation of Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 notes, only saw significant growth after the Covid-19 lockdown in 2020.

While UPI’s average transaction size was Rs 3,872 in 2016-17, it dropped to Rs 1,525 in 2023-24, indicating its growing use for smaller-value purchases.

The study also noted that cash is still preferred for low-value transactions. However, the currency with the public (CWP) to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ratio, which had peaked at 13.9 percent in 2020-21 following demonetisation, fell to 11.5 percent in 2023-24.

UPI’s share in person-to-merchant (P2M) transactions also grew significantly, rising from 33% in value terms in 2020-21 to 69 percent in 2023-24, while its volume share increased from 51 to 87 percent over the same period.

Bhuyan concluded that the drop in UPI’s average transaction size, the rise in P2M transactions, and the moderation in the CWP-to-GDP ratio in 2023-24 all indicate a clear shift from cash to UPI for smaller-value transactions.